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Journal : MEDIAGRO

DINAMIKA DAN MODEL ARIMA PENAWARAN BERAS DI KABUPATEN SUKOHARJO SEBELUM DAN SELAMA PELAKSANAAN OTONOMI DAERAH (PERIODE TAHUN 1994-2010) Nurjayanti, Eka Dewi; Darsono, Darsono; Supardi, Suprapti
MEDIAGRO Vol 8, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Unwahas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31942/md.v8i1.1308

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to know the dynamics of suppling rice in era before and after regional autonomy in Sukoharjo Regency and to analyzed ARIMA model of them in Sukoharjo Regency on 2011 ? 2015. The basic method applied in this research is analytical descriptive method. The research object is taken purposively, that is Sukoharjo Regency. The method of analysis data in this research is (1) Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) method with fourth steps, include identification, parameter estimation, diagnostic checking, and forecasting and (2) Chow Breakpoint Test. The result got from this research is the annual supply rice data have a fluctuation pattern with increase trend. It is not stationary and become stationary in first differencing. The result of parameter estimation judged that tentative model for the annual supply rice is ARIMA (0,1,1). The result of diagnostic checking judged that the best ARIMA model is ARIMA (0,1,1) with RMSE value is 5.186,376; R2 value is 0,850311; F-statistic value is 79,52704; and parameter of MA is significant because probabilistic value is less than 0,05. To suggest dummy variable with Chow Breakpoint Test showed that in 2000 was a period which affected annual supply and demand of rice, with F-statistic value is 3,033932 and this probability is significant. Regional autonomy not affected in supply and demand of rice. It is because rule of regional government less than main government in capital country. The result of forecasting annual supply of rice in 2011 ? 2015 showed annual supply decreased. Keywords: supply, ARIMA, rice
IDENTIFIKASI POSISI DAN KONTRIBUSI SEKTOR PERTANIAN DALAM PEREKONOMIAN DAERAH DI KABUPATEN TEMANGGUNG Wibowo, Hendri; Darsono, Darsono; Nurjayanti, .Eka Dewi
MEDIAGRO Vol 12, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Unwahas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31942/md.v12i1.1607

Abstract

This study aims to determine the economic-sector and the agricultural sub-sector that become a basic sector/subsector, knowing the role changing of economic sectors and agricultural sub-sector in the future and determine the role changing of economy sector and agricultural sub-sector in Temanggung Regency. The research used descriptive analytical method using Location Quotient (LQ), Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ) and Shift Share (SS). The data that used are Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) at constant prices 2000, from 2009 until 2013. Data obtained from BAPPEDA Temanggung Regency, Statistic Center Agency (BPS) Temanggung Regency and Statistic Center Agency (BPS) Central Java Province. The results showed that in the 2009-2013 period, there are  become Agricultural sector (1,68); Electricity, Gas and Water Supply (1,13); Transport and Communication sector (1,09); Financial, Ownership and Business Services sector (1,05); and Services sector (1,53) that become basic sector. on Agricultural sub-sector there are Non-Food Crops sub-sector (1,46) and Livestock and Products sub-sector (1,16) that become basic sub-sector. Based on DLQ value, Agricultural sector (8,29); Manufacturing Industry sector (1,03); Electry, Gas and Water Supply sector (2,87); Transport and Communication sector (1,21) and Services sector (1,77) are still become basic sector. In Agricultural sub-sector, Farm Food Crops sector (1,58); Fishery sector (80,39) are still become basic sub-sector. There are two economic sectors in Temanggung Regency that change the position in the future, Manufacture Industry sector change from non-basic sector (0,61) into basic sector (1,03); Financial, Ownership and Business Services sector change from basic sector (1,05) into non-basic sector (0,89). In Agricultural sub-sector, Farm Food Crops change from non-basic sub-sector (0,97) become basic sub-sector, Non Food Crop change from basis sub-sector (1,46) become basic subsector, Livestock and Products sub-sector change from basic sub-sector (1,16) become non basic sub-sector (0,21), and Fishery sub-sector change from non-basic sub-sector (0,21) become basic sub-sector (80,39). Factor that cause a position change in the Manufacturing Industry sector is the location. Factor that cause a position change in the Financial, Ownership and Business Services sector is the economic structure factor, while the factor that cause position change in the Agricurtural sub-sector is the location.   Keywords: Agricultural Sector, GRDP, LQ, Shift Share, Temanggung Regency
Co-Authors A. Sudirman, A. Acepudin, Acepudin Ade Ayu Eres Setyarini, Ade Ayu Eres Ade Kurniawan Ade Pradana, Gita Adei Saputra, Adei Adelina Hasyim Adha Nur Hidayat, Adha Nur Adhysti Kartika Zamira Adi Baskara Perwira, Adi Adi Cifriadi, Adi Adi Purnomo Adinda Ageng Syahputri, Adinda Ageng Afnan, Fauzi Agnes Carolina Agung Pramudito, Agung Agung Prihatmojo, Agung Agus Pujianto Agustira, Ines Agustono Agustono, Agustono Ahmad Rifan, Ahmad Ahmad Sudirman Aisyah Yohanella, Aisyah Akhmad Rasyid Syahputra, Akhmad Rasyid Akhsani Lubis Dwi Saputra, Akhsani Lubis Alben Ambarita Aldona Meylina Manalu, Aldona Meylina ali wijayanto Allantara, Rio Dedi Andika Nugroho Sulistianto, Andika Nugroho Angrayana, David Anik Sunarni Annisa, Fitri Aulia Apriliani Rahmawati Apriyani Apriyani Apriyani, Cici Apriyanti Apriyanti Apriyanti, Bunga Ardhi Yudisthira Argatami, Afifah Asri Ariadi, Ariadi Arief Ramadhan Arif Wibawa, Fajri Arisandi, Tiras Adi Arwin Surbakti Asmaul Khair Astari, Rahmadhanty Kusuma Astika, Della Astuti, Natalia Kris Tri Atika Sari Atmoko, Yulius Kristian Tri Audiyah, Rhadiatul Mega Ayu Astira Ayu Silvia Febriani Ayuningrum, Yessy Azka Falaih Rizqiyana, Azka Falaih B. Sampurna Jaya, M. Thoha Bahar Triono Budi Legowo Budianto, Anwar Caswita Caswita Cherleyrian Ningsih Christa Evandini Cut Rohani Danang Tri Atmojo, Danang Tri Dapat Syahputra, Dapat Darmanto Darmanto Darmawi, Ahmad Darwanto Darwanto Daryanta Daryanta Deasy Vivta Rini Dedi Firmanto, Dedi Delima Sari, Irlani Aprida Desi Susanti Desy Mauliya, Desy Deviyanti Pangestu Devy Larasati Sukoco Dewi Sri Leni Indah DEWI WULANSARI Dewi, Dea Arien Alinda Dhedy Handono Diah Nuraini Dian Erika Wati Diana Hariani dina rosita Dinah, Aida Farah Diniyanti, Wayan Sari Doni Andeska Dumanika Rizky Bimasakti, Dumanika Rizky Dwi Ariyani Dwi Mawarti Dwi Setyo Putri, Ragil Dwi Yulia Sari, Dwi Yulia Dwinanda Harsa, Dwinanda Eddy Purnomo Edi Basuki Edy Purnomo Eka Dewi Nurjayanti Eka Puspitasari, Eka Eka Wahyuni Elin Nuraini Elsa Destriyani, Elsa Enden Sopa Sopiyana Eni Setianingsih Eny Lestari Erlina Rufaidah Erlyna Wida Riptanti Erni Mustakim Faranita, Widya Atri Fatih Istiqomah Febra Anjar Kusuma, Febra Anjar Febrintina S, Dian Fenny Rita Fiantik, Fenny Rita Ferdesi Hanafia Firmanullah, Nurul FITRI ANA Fitrianingsih Fitrianingsih Fitrihandayani, Anis Gilang, Mufti Gusnetty Jayasinga, Gusnetty H., Yulina H., Yulina Habibatussolikhah, Annisa Titias Hambali Hambali Hani Handayani, Hani Harisudin, Muhamad Harsojo Harsojo Hastuti, Mistin Kusuma Hendry Susanto Herdiyanto, Wempy Singgih Heri Usmanto Heri Wahono herman, mey zulfia Herpratiwi Herpratiwi Hery Pratiknyo Hidayatullah Hidayatullah himmatul Aliyah, himmatul Hudawati, Deniq Hudayawan, Riza Nor Hurustiati Hurustiati Iding, Iding Ignatius Sulistyo Ika Santia Imam Widhiono Indrayani, Lilin Irawan Suntoro Irtanti Retno Astuti Iskandar Syah Iskandar, Sudrajat Ismiati Marfuah Rochmat, Ismiati Marfuah Jatmiko Jatmiko Jaya Wijaya JOKO SUSANTO Joko Sutrisno Juang Kurniawan Syahruzah Kartika, Leli Kesuma Wardani Khalifah, Rizki Nur Kharisma Idola Arga Khasanah, Meyla Khumaida, Nosya Fachrizadini Kinayung, Satria Kinayung, Satria Koesuma, Sorja Kosyi Hadi Prayogo, Kosyi Hadi Kusuma, Damar Yoga Kusumastuti, Cicilia Tri Kusumawardani, Zarra Aulia Lafenia, Leni Larasati, Helena Dona Lasri, Lasri Leny Marlina Lessie Novitasari, Lessie Lestari, Yulita Dwi Lia Dwi Arinda, Lia Dwi Linawati, Anissa Listanti, Sinta Nur Rizqi Loliyana Loliyana M Thoha BS Jaya, M Thoha M. Thoha B.S. Jaya M.Thoha B.S Jaya, M.Thoha B.S Made Sumarti Kardha Made Sumarti, Made Maharani, Upik Maman Surahman Mardalena, Ni Nyoman Mardalena, Ni Nyoman Maria Claudia Karina Marsongko Marsongko, Marsongko Maryani Maryani Mastina, Lisda Metri Setyaning Komalasari Minar Ferichani Mirzan T. Razzak Mochamad Ibnu Harris, Mochamad Mohd. Harisudin Mugiadi Mugiadi Muhajir, Faisal Muhammad Fajar Maulana Muhammad Fathul Anwar, Muhammad Fathul Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Iqbal Birsyada, Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Oktavian Kristiana Muhammad Ramadhan Muji Desy Susanty Muncarno Muncarno Mustika, Shinta Sukma Mustikorini, Asih Muzakki, Muadz Rizki Na’im, Azizun Zuhudatin Nazaruddin Wahab Nelly Astuti Ni Luh Ketut Shanti Antik Safitri, Ni Luh Ketut Shanti Antik Nia Susilo Wardani Noca Yolanda Sari Novandri, Ruben Novia Ayu Puspitasari Nugroho, Novian Trio nuning setyowati Nur Cahyonowati Nur?aini, Nur?aini Nuraeni, Nelly Nuraini, Tumang Nurhayat Nurhayat, Nurhayat Nurjayanti, .Eka Dewi Nurlaksana Eko Rusminto Nurmalena, Nurmalena Nurrachman, Ade Nurudin Nurudin Octiara, Dwinta Ovita, Dhea Pamuji, Iska Aditya Pargito Pargito Parwono Parwono Prabowo, Hanif Imam Prakoso, Ega Wibi Prama Handitya Wardhana Pramedita, Cindy Pricilia, Igga Pujiati Pujiati Purnama Sari Putri Nurul Aini, Putri Nurul Putri Permatasari, Putri Putu Ayu Dahliawati R Gunawan Sudarmanto R. Gunawan Sudarmanto Rachmasari, Putri Raden Gunawan Sudarmanto Rahardjo, Carrolina Rahmat Diyanto, Rahmat Rahmawati, Shanti Eka Ramadhani, Achmad Rapani Rapani Ratri Dian Hestuningrum Ratri, Lintang Dianing Ravel, Ravel Rheza Rahadhitya, Rheza Rian Suryo Darmawan Rimawati, Intan Rini Asnawati Risma Margaretha Sinaga Ristiana Ristiana Riswanti Rini Riyani Riyani Riyanto M. Taruna Riza Damayanti Rizky Agung Pratiwi, Rizky Agung Rizky Ariawan Ramadan, Rizky Roseanna Febriyani Rosmalina, Putu Rusdawati, Mala Rusmini, Rosalia Saefurrochman Saefurrochman Saifullah Saifullah Santi Puspitasari Santika, Iffa Dian Sanun Sanun, Sanun Saputro, Setiyawan Adi Saputro, Setiyawan Adi Sarengat Sarengat Sari Puspa Dewi, Sari Puspa Sari, Des Sinta Sari, Dwi Novita Sari, Dwi Novita Sari, Ni Made Sukerti Sari, Yesi Wulan Satria Nugroho, Satria Sella Pramesta, Sella Septa Inda Yuli Septi Arianingsih Septianto, Rizki Serli Birlina, Serli Setyaningsih, Fitri Setyarso Herlambang, Setyarso Setyowati Setyowati Sibarani, Gianti Siddiq Dharmadi Siswanta, Siswanta Siswantoro Siswantoro Siswati Handayani Sisworo Sanjaya Siti Rachmah Siti Rachmah Sofiani Sitta Kurniawati Sowiyah Sowiyah Sri Erlinda Sri Lisdayeni, Sri sri marwanti Sri Maryati Sri Murniasih Sri Tjondro Winarno, Sri Tjondro Sri Wahyuni Sucipto Sucipto Sudarsono, Galih Sudartoyo, Sudartoyo Sudiyarto Sudiyarto Sudjarwo Sudjarwo Sugara, Okinando Sugeng Pamudji Sugianti, Hanifah Feni Sugiarto Danu Sugiman Sugiman Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Suhardi Suhardi Suhardiansyah Suhardiansyah Suhartono Suhartono Sukana, Asep Sukirno Sukirno Sulistiasih Sulistiasih Sultan Djasmi SUMADI SUMADI Sunardi Sunardi Supanggyo Supanggyo Supentri Supentri, Supentri Suprapti Supardi Suprapto Suprapto Supriyadi Supriyadi Surbakhti, Arwin Suri, Ima Suripto Suripto Susi Rahmawati Susi Wuri Ani Sutiarahmah, Ridha Suwarjo Suwarjo Suyamto Suyamto Syuaibah Yoswinda Floren, Syuaibah Yoswinda Taufik Taufik Tedi Rusman Tiara Nurbaiti, Tiara Tri Darmawati, Tri Trisnaningsih Trisnaningsih Triwiswara, Mutiara Tutut Zatmiko, Tutut Umi Salamah UT, Ika Wulandari Veridiana Eka Christy Vivi Novita Sari W Turnip, Purnama Wahidin, M. Septo wahyuni wahyuni Wardani, Sharah Kusuma Wardaya Wardaya Wardhani, Ayu Pratiwi Kusuma Wati, Anis Ambar Wellfa Rina Hamer Wibowo, Hendri Wicaksana, Erza Ardenta Widodo, Dyah Winarni, Eka Ayu Tyas Winarni, Eka Ayu Tyas Windasari, Sri WIWIEN ANDRIYANTI Wiwit Rahayu Yavina Nugrahanti Yayah Haenilah, Een Yohanie, Dian Devita YUDI PURWANTO Yulina Hamdan Yulina Hamdani Yulina Yulina Yusep Muslih Purwana Zainul Mubtadiin Zanah, Nur