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Articles

APLIKASI ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS (AHP) DALAM PENENTUAN SKALA PRIORITAS PENYELENGGARAAN JALAN DI KECAMATAN CIBINONG KABUPATEN BOGOR Minesa, Punti; Siregar, Hermanto; Manuwoto, Manuwoto
Jurnal Manajemen Pembangunan Daerah Vol 6, No 2 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Manajemen Pembangunan Daerah. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen. IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (350.837 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jurnal mpd.6.2.%p

Abstract

ABSTRACTRoad management activities intended to allow roads to work as it role as supporting the growth of economic. To achieve these objectives, the roads should always be in steady condition. Road management activities should be planed based on the scale of priorities according to the importance of the road, so that allocation of budgeted funds can be effective. Thus the need to review the prioritization of road maintenance in accordance with the need of the community. The method used in this study is Analytical Hierarcy Process with the criteria used are: The function of the services, The aspirations of the people, Political aspirations and Technical approach. Based on the result of AHP, the most decisive criteria in District Cibinong road handling,  is the criterion of service functions, in turn, sub criteria transportation route serving and serving terminal / sub-terminals are the two sub criteria that highly prioritized. Furthermore there are four (4) strategies in carrying out road maintenance activities on roads that become priorities, namely: Maintain the road conditions; Strategies to improve the quality of road construction; Strategies to optimize the width of pavement and Strengthening the right of way on roads that do not meet the requirements.Keywords: Road District, Priority Scale, AHP MethodeABSTRAKUsaha penyelenggaraan jalan ditujukan agar ruas jalan dapat berfungsi sesuai perannya sebagai penunjang pertumbuhan ekonomi. Untuk mencapai tujuan tersebut diperlukan ruas jalan yang selalu ada dalam kondisi mantap. Kegiatan penyelenggaraan jalan harus disusun berdasarkan skala prioritas sesuai dengan tingkat kepentingan dari ruas jalan, sehingga alokasi dana yang dianggarkan menjadi tepat sasaran. Obyek penelitian meliputi 27 ruas jalan kabupaten di Kecamatan Cibinong, bertujuan untuk menentukan strategi dan program alternatif yang dapat dilaksanakan oleh Pemerintah Kabupaten Bogor dalam menyelenggarakan penanganan jalan. Dalam kondisi keterbatasan dana sulit menentukan prioritas penangannnya. Maka diperlukan prioritas penanganan jalan sesuai dengan kebutuhan masyarakat. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode Analitycal Hierarcy Process dengan kriteria yang digunakan adalah (1) fungsi layanan, (2) aspirasi masyarakat, (3) aspirasi politis dan (4) pendekatan teknis. Berdasarkan hasil AHP, kriteria yang paling menentukan adalah kriteria fungsi layanan, selanjutnya sub kriteria melayani trayek angkutan dan terminal/sub terminal adalah dua sub kriteria yang sangat diprioritaskan. Selanjutnya terdapat 4 (empat) strategi dalam menyelenggarakan kegiatan penanganan jalan, yaitu: (1) Mempertahankan kondisi jalan pada ruas jalan prioritas; (2) Strategi meningkatkan kualitas konstruksi pada ruas jalan prioritas; (3) Strategi mengoptimalkan lebar perkerasan pada ruas jalan prioritas dan (4) membenahi ruang milik jalan (Rumija) pada ruas jalan yang belum memenuhi ketentuan.Kata Kunci: Jalan Kabupaten, Skala Prioritas, Metode AHP
MIGRATION IS A NATURAL PROCESS TO DISTRIBUTE LABOR SURPLUS IN ORIGIN REGIONS TO DESTINATION REGIONS HAVING A HIGH LEVEL OF LABOR DEMAND, BUT IN RECENT YEARS MIGRATION CAUSES LABOR SURPLUS AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE DESTINATION REGION.  THE OBJECTIVE OF THIS PAPER IS TO ANALYZE THE INFLUENCE OF MIGRATION ON LABOR MARKET BEHAVIOR AND TO EVALUATE THE IMPACT OF INTERNAL MIGRATION POLICY ON LABOR MARKET BEHAVIOR IN INDONESIA.  TO REACH THIS OBJECTIVE, A SIMULTANEOUS EQUATION MODEL CONTAINING 15 STRUCT ., Safrida; Sinaga, Bonar M.; Siregar, Hermanto; ., Harianto
Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 31 No. 2 (2008): Forum Pascasarjana
Publisher : Forum Pasca Sarjana

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Abstract

Migration is a natural process to distribute labor surplus in origin regions to destination regions having a high level of labor demand, but in recent years migration causes labor surplus and unemployment in the destination region.  The objective of this paper is to analyze the influence of migration on labor market behavior and to evaluate the impact of internal migration policy on labor market behavior in Indonesia.  To reach this objective, a simultaneous equation model containing 15 structural equations and 5 identities equations are constructed.  The analysis use time series 1985-2006 data.  Model was estimated by 2SLS method and simulation was used the Newton method.  The results of this research indicated that migration influence labor supply in Jawa, Kalimantan and other island.  Factors that influence labor demand in Java are amount of industry and government development expenditure, but in Sumatera, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and other island influenced by total investment, government development expenditure and lag labor demand.  The impact of internal migration policy on labor market by way of increasing minimum wage can not solve labor market problem because the policy cause increase unemployment in each island.  The impact of increasing minimum wage and government development expenditure can solve labor market problem through decreasing unemployment, although average wage in each island is increasing.  The policy can also solve distribution of population by way of decreasing migration to Jawa.   Key words: internal migration, labor market
EFISIENSI TEKNIS, PERTUMBUHAN TEKNOLOGI DAN TOTAL FAKTOR PRODUKTIVITAS PADA INDUSTRI MENENGAH DAN BESAR DI INDONESIA Fazri, Muhammad; Siregar, Hermanto; Nuryartono, Nunung
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1071.711 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.6.1.1-20

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Indonesia's economic growth this decade has good development. Not only growing but also more stable than before the reform era which is visible from the persistence of Indonesia at the level of positive growth during the economic crisis of 2008. Growth was good was followed by a change in the proportion of manufacturing industry in Indonesia which, if seen followed by a decrease in the production of some subsector indices industry. Total factor productivity (TFP) is one measure to look at other factors apart from the impact on production inputs such as technical efficiency and technological growth. In this study, in addition to trying to calculate TFP in some manufacturing industries subsector, in this study also wants to see the value of technical efficiency and the growth of the technology is a component of TFP calculations by the method of Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). The results show that there is growing value of technical efficiency in some industries and most industries experienced relatively low growth of the technology. In the era before and after the crisis most of the industry has increased TFP growth but some industry decreased TFP growth. Keywords: SFA, Technical efficiency, Technological growth, TFP
DETERMINANT OF MICROCREDIT REPAYMENT Farida, Farida; Siregar, Hermanto; Nuryartono, Nunung; KP, Eka Intan
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Vol 19 No 1 (2016): JULY 2016
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1011.888 KB) | DOI: 10.21098/bemp.v19i1.600

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This paper investigate the determinants of microcredit repayment by employing the logistic regression on micro-business households in Pati, Central Java. The result of this study reveals that loan repayment affected significantly by the business lines, food consumption spending, side job, other loan sources, collateral, and credit constrained. Interestingly, the result concludes that the loan repayment are no longer influenced by moral hazard, since the characteristics such as gender, education level, age, experience do not significantly encourage borrowers to repay. This paper also conform the important role of peer-screening process on hindering the credit default.
EL NINO AND DETERMINANTS OF THE OUTPUT OF MICRO AND SMALL INDUSTRY IN JAVA Siregar, Hermanto; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam; Hasanah, Heni; Pasaribu, Syamsul Hidayat
Indonesian Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship (IJBE) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2020): IJBE, Vol. 6 No. 1, January 2020
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/ijbe.6.1.97

Abstract

Micro and small industry sector plays an important role in the economy of a country including Indonesia, due to its large contribution to gross domestic product and its large labor absorption. The output of the sector is influenced by economic variables and non-economic factors such as the El Nino climate phenomenon. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of these economic factors and the climate phenomenon on the output of micro and small industries in Java by using panel data, which are combination of cross section and time series, i.e. 6 provinces of Java from 2011 to 2017. The results showed that these economic factors have positive effect on the output while El Nino has negative effect. In accordance with these results, the government needs to actively facilitate micro and small industries in the fulfillment of economic factors and assist the business actors in anticipating and mitigating the impact of El Nino. Keywords: Economic factors, El Nino, micro and small industry, panel data method
THE DETERMINANTS OF INDONESIAN TEXTILE’S AND CLOTHING EXPORT TO THE FIVE COUNTRIES OF EXPORT DESTINATION Irvansyah, Faizal; Siregar, Hermanto; Novianti, Tanti
ETIKONOMI Vol 19, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (173.841 KB) | DOI: 10.15408/etk.v19i1.14845

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Indonesian textile and clothing products (TPT) is the second-largest export product after oil palm product. There are five biggest export destination countries, that is the United States, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. This study aims to analyze the factors that affect TPT exports to the five biggest export destination countries. The factors that affect TPT exports examined by using time series and panel data analysis. Using panel data analysis finds that GDP per capita of the destination country, the exchange rate of the Rupiah, the price of textiles in the destination country, and import tariffs stipulate in the destination country affect TPT exports. Then, using time series analysis finds that GDP per capita and import tariffs affected TPT export to the United States, China, and Turkey. Meanwhile, the factors influencing Indonesian textile exports to Japan and South Korea are textile prices, rupiah exchange rates, and import tariffs.JEL Classification: F14, F43How to Cite:Irvansyah, F., Siregar, H., & Novianti, T. (2020). The Determinants of Indonesian Textile?s and Clothing Export to the Five Countries of Export Destination. Etikonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi, 19(1), 19 ? 30. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v19i1.14845.
THE VALUE AT RISK OF SELLING OPTION ON CRUDE OIL WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE Asianto, Abitur; Siregar, Hermanto; Sembel, Roy; Maulana, Tubagus Nur Ahmad
ETIKONOMI Vol 18, No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (423.147 KB) | DOI: 10.15408/etk.v18i1.7319

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The Value at Risk (VaR) of selling the option on crude oil WTI has not widely known, whereas this trade is the most significant transactions in the world. This study aimed to analyze the Value at Risk (VaR) of the far out of the money (FOTM) and the in the money (ITM) strike position of selling option on crude oil WTI investment. The monthly option premium return data ranging from April 1984 to May 2017 was analyzed by the ARCH-GARCH and VaR method to get the risk of FOTM and ITM strike position. Empirical results indicate that the risk of the FOTM strike was much lower than the ITM strike positions. It meant that selecting the FOTM strike position of the selling option on crude oil WTI investment could be considered by stakeholders because its risk was much lower than the ITM strike position.JEL Classification: C32, G19, G32
DAMPAK DESENTRALISASI FISKAL TERHADAP KINERJA FISKAL DAERAH DAN KETAHANAN PANGAN DI WILAYAH PROVINSI JAWA BARAT Rindayati, Wiwiek; Sanim, Bunasor; Hutagaol, M Parulian; Siregar, Hermanto
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 4 No. 2 (2007): Vol. 4 No. 2 Oktober 2007
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (862.299 KB) | DOI: 10.17358/jma.4.2.103-117

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The implementation of fiscal decentralization in accordance with Law No 32/2004 regarding local government and No. 33/2004 regarding inter-government fiscal relationship was considered as the new  era management  and local goverment budgets. The objectives of this study are (1) to analyze factors affecting regional fiscal performance, regional economy performance, poverty ond food security performance, (2) to evaluate impact of fiscal decentralization policy on poverty and food security in West Java.The descriptive analysis and simultaneous econometrical models were used in this study, using pooled time series data of  1995-2005 and cross section data of 13 kabupaten estimated using the 2SLS method. The result of the study shows that the DAU was the source of 68 persen of regional income.The routine expenditures were the largest regional expenditures (77 persen). The policy of increasing wages of agricultural has affectively increased food security and  poverty alleviation in West Java.
THE ECONOMIC CRISIS IN 1997 HAS CAUSED THE RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE TO DEPRECIATE FROM ABOUT RP 2,500/US DOLLAR TO RP 15,000/US DOLLAR IN THE TIME OF CRISIS AND TO AROUND RP 9,300/US DOLLAR RECENTLY.  THIS CONDITION CAUSED THE AUTHORITY TO FOCUS THEIR POLICY IN STABILIZING RUPIAH  AND REDUCING INFLATION RATE.  THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS RESEARCH ARE FIRSTLY, TO ANALYZE THE RESPONSE OF THE VARIABLES OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDEX (IPI), MONEY SUPPLY AND INTEREST RATE WHEN THE SHOCKS TO EXCHANGE RATE A Riyadh, M. Ilham; Oktaviani, Rina; Siregar, Hermanto
Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 32 No. 3 (2009): Forum Pascasarjana
Publisher : Forum Pasca Sarjana

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Abstract

The economic crisis in 1997 has caused the rupiah exchange rate to depreciate from about Rp 2,500/US dollar to Rp 15,000/US dollar in the time of crisis and to around Rp 9,300/US dollar recently.  This condition caused the authority to focus their policy in stabilizing rupiah  and reducing inflation rate.  The objectives of this research are firstly, to analyze the response of the variables of industrial production index (IPI), money supply and interest rate when the shocks to exchange rate and inflation take place; secondly, to analyze the contributions of  IPI, inflation rate, money supply and interest rate differentiation in explaining the variation of exchange rate and inflation rate of Indonesia; and thirdly, to formulate the monetary policy of implication stabilizing the rupiah and inflation rate.  The results show that the shock to the rupiah exchange rate has resulted in a very high depreciation responded by an increase in money supply and price but IPI decreases.  To reduce depreciation, authority can increase the interest rate. Meanwhile the shock to inflation are responded directly by increases in Bank Indonesia certificate rate so that the money supply decreases, exchange rate appreciates, and IPI decreases.  To stabilize the rupiah exchange rate and the inflation rate, monetary authority should carry out the tight money policy through a relatively high interest rate, so capital inflow will take place.   Key words: monetary policy, rupiah exchange rate, inflation rate, industrial production index, vector autoregressive
STRATEGI PEMBIAYAAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN PARIWISATA BERBASIS MASYARAKAT DI KOTA AMBON Latuconsina, Olivia CH; Syaukat, Yusman; Siregar, Hermanto
Jurnal Manajemen Pembangunan Daerah Vol 5, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Manajemen Pembangunan Daerah. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen. IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (438.334 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jurnal mpd.5.2.%p

Abstract

Community-based tourism could increase local income and at the same time maintain the culture, arts and way of life of surrounding communities. The purpose of this research is to study the financing of community based tourism development in Ambon City. Methods used in this reseach are descriptive quantitative analysis, SWOT analysis, and QSPM analysis. Findings of the analysis are: 1) The role of government shoud be increased through friendly investment policy and sufficient government budget; 2) Increase in private financing done through the public private partnerships; 3) Communication, coordination and cooperation among local government and tourism entepreneurs are need to be improved; 4) Communities around the tourist objects can not yet utilize the potential of tourism as a source of their income so capacity building for them is a must; 5) Community can take advantage of the national program of tourism self empowerment (PNPM Mandiri Pariwisata) and “Kredit Usaha Rakyat” program to increase their welfare, and 6) There are six financing strategies for community-based tourism development in Ambon City that can be implemented in 2011-2016.Keywords: Ambon, Community-based tourism, Financing, Policy, Public Private PartnershipsABSTRAK Pariwisata berbasis kominitas dapat meningkatkan pendapatan masyarakat setempat dan sekitarnya sekaligus memelihara budaya, kesenian dan cara hidup masyarakat di sekitarnya. Tujuan penelitian adalah untuk mengkaji pembiayaan pengembangan pariwisata berbasis masyarakat di Kota Ambon. Metode yang digunakan yaitu analisis deskriptif kuantitatif, analisis SWOT, dan analisis QSPM. Hasil analisis yang ditemukan antara lain: 1) Perlu peningkatan peran pemerintah melalui kebijakan investasi dan anggaran yang cukup; 2) Peningkatan pembiayaan swasta melalui kemitraan sektor publik-swasta perlu dilakukan; 3) Komunikasi, koordinasi serta kerjasama antara pemerintah dan wirausaha pariwisata perlu ditingkatkan; 4) Komunitas di sekitar obyek wisata belum bisa memanfaatkan potensi pariwisata sebagai sumber pendapatan sehingga kapasitas pembangunan bagi komunitas perlu dilakukan; 5) Komunitas dapat mengambil keuntungan dari program nasional pemberdayaan masyarakat pariwisata (PNPM Mandiri Pariwisata) dan program “Kredit Usaha Rakyat” untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakat; dan 6) Terdapat 6 strategi pembiayaan terkait pengembangan pariwisata berbasis komunitas di Kota Ambon yang dapat diterapkan pada 2011-2016.Kata kunci: Ambon, Pariwisata Berbasis Komunitas, Pembiayaan, Kebijakan, Kemitraan Sektor Publik-Swasta
Co-Authors . Hermanto, . . Mahyuddin Abitur Asianto, Abitur Adhitya Wardhana Adis Imam Munandar, Adis Imam Adler H. Manurung Adler Haymans Manurung Affendi Anwar Ahmad Aris, Ahmad Ahmad, Fahmi Salam Akhmadi Akhmadi Amzul Rifin Andam Dewi Anny Ratnawati Aprilia Sukmawati Ardina Puspitasari, Ardina Arief Darjanto Arief Daryanto Arif Imam Suroso Asep Saefuddin Aviliani, Aviliani Bambang Juanda Bambang Widyantoro Benar Darius Ginting Bonar M Sinaga, Bonar M BONAR M. SINAGA BONAR M. SINAGA Bunasor Sanim BUNGARAN SARAGIH D. S. Priyarsono D.S. Priyarsono Dahri Dahri, Dahri Darmawan, Indra Darsono . Dedi Budiman Hakim Diana Septiningrum, Diana Dirga, Satria Prawira Dominicus Savio Priyarsono, Dominicus Savio Dudi S. Hendrawan Dwi Haryono Dyan Vidyatmoko Eddi Wahyudi, Eddi Edi, Sutriono Eduart Wolok Eka Intan Kumala Putri Eko Wahyu Nugrahadi Endah Murniningtyas Endriatmo Soetarto Eriyatno Eriyatno Erlina Erlina Ernan Rustiadi Ernawati Pasaribu, Ernawati Erwin Susanto Sadirsan Evi Lisna Evita H. Legowo Fahriyah Fahriyah Faizul Mubarok, Faizul Fajri, Nurlaila Firdani Farida Farida Fazri, Muhammad Gusti Azis, Gusti Gustiyan Taufik Mahardika, Gustiyan Taufik Hadi, Mohamad Nur Harahap, Muhammad Syafril Hardinsyah . Harianto . Harianto Harianto Hendro Sasongko Heni Hasanah Hery Setiawan, Hery Heti Mulyati Hidayati, Nadiah I Wayan Mangku Ichsan, Aulia Idqan Fahmi Irvansyah, Faizal Jajang Jajang Johan, Suwinto Joyo Winoto, Joyo Klau, Anggelina Delviana Kodrat Wibowo KP, Eka Intan Kusnadi - Kustanto, Heru Kuswahariani, Wulandari Laksono, Hani Latuconsina, Olivia CH Legowo, Evita H Lukman Hakim, Agus Lukman M. Baga Lukman Mohammad Baga Lukytawati Anggraeni M Kolopaking, Lala M Parulian Hutagaol M. Ilham Riyadh M. Machfud M. Parulian Hutagaol M. Said Didu Ma'arif, Syamsul Machmud, Musdhalifah MANGARA TAMBUNAN Mangasa Augustinus Sipahutar, Mangasa Augustinus Mangiri, Ditha Manuwoto, Manuwoto Maryanti, Desi Minesa, Punti Muhammad Arief Dirgantoro Muhammad Firdaus Muhammad Syamsul Maarif Muladno - Mulya E. Siregar Nasendi, B D Nasution, M. Bobby Afif Nasution, Sahruddin Noer Azam Achsani Nunung Nuryartono Nuryati, Yati Pantjar Simatupang Parulian Hutagaol Perdana Wahyu Santoso Permadi, Hengki Petrus F.T.P. Tampubolon Prima, Ghaniy Ridha Putri, Rizavia Mardhika R Marsuki Iswandi, R Marsuki R Susila, Wayan Rahmanta Rahmanta, Rahmanta Rina Oktaviani Riny Kusumawati Rio B.M.T. Hutagaol, Rio B.M.T. Ristiyanto, Nirwan Rita Nurmalina Rivai, Arham Roy Sembel Safrida . Santoso, Moch. Hadi Setia Hadi Setiadi Djohar Siti Aida Adha Taridala Sjafri Mangkuprawira Sri Hartoyo Sri Mulatsih Stephen Thenu Sugeng Budiharsono Sugimin Pranoto Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Suprastyo, Dwi Surjono H. Sutjahjo Surya Abadi Sembiring Sutikno, Renaldo Prima Suwarno Suwarno Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu Syarifuddin, Ferry Syarifuddin, Ferry Syauqi, Muhamad Tanti Novianti TATAN SUKWIKA Trias Andati Tubagus Nur Ahmad Maulana USMAN - Vidyatmoko, Dyan Widhiyanto, Iman Widiarti, Astoeti Wahjoe Widyastutik Widyastutik Widyastutik Winardi Winardi Wiwiek Rindayati Wonny A. Ridwan Yuliani, Fitria Yulismi, Yulismi Yusman Syaukat