Ketut Sukiyono
Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu Jl. Raya Kandang Limun, Bengkulu

Published : 42 Documents
Articles

THE BEST FORECASTING MODEL FOR CASSAVA PRICE Yuristia, Rahmi; Apriyanto, Dodi; Sukiyono, Ketut
AGRITROPICA : Journal of Agricultural Sciences Vol 2, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian (BPFP)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/j.agritropica.2.2.86-92

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and select the most accurate forecasting for predicting cassava prices in Indonesia. The data used is monthly data during the period of 2009 to 2017. This predicting uses the forecasting model, such as Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Decomposition. Selecting the models found by comparing the smallest values of MAPE, MAD, and MSD. Therefore, it concluded that the Moving Average model is the most appropriate to Forecasting the price of cassava. Keywords : Selection, Forecasting model, cassava, prices
PROBABILITAS TERJADINYA TINDAK KEKERASAN TERHADAP WANITA DALAM RUMAH TANGGA: STUDI PADA MASYARAKAT BERBASIS PERTANIAN DI KABUPATEN BENGKULU UTARA Purwoko, Agus; Sukiyono, Ketut; Sigit Priyono, Basuki
Sosiohumaniora Vol 13, No 1 (2011): SOSIOHUMANIORA, MARET 2011
Publisher : Universitas Padjadjaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24198/sosiohumaniora.v13i1.5462

Abstract

Penelitian ini ditujukan untuk mengkaji faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi probabilitas terjadinya tindak kekerasan dalam rumah tangga (KDRT) pada wanita/istri petani, dalam periode 3 dan 6 bulan terakhir. Metode deskriptif dan probit binary model digunakan untuk menganalisa data yang telah terkumpul melalui wawancara terhadap 200 wanita dari 4 desa di Kecamatan Padang Jaya Kabupaten Bengkulu Utara yang dipilih secara stratified random sampling berdasarkan basis ekonomi rumah tangga (RT) mereka, yakni RT perkebunan, RT perikanan air tawar, dan RT pertanian tanaman pangan. Jumlah responden untuk masing-masing desa ditentukan secara proporsional berdasarkan sub-populasinya dan pemilihannya juga dilakukan secara acak. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa probabilitas wanita/istri petani mengalami KDRT dalam 3 dan 6 bulan terakhir adalah 37% dan 48%, dalam bentuk kekerasan fisik, psikologi, sosial-ekonomi, dan seksual. Penelitian ini juga menemukan bahwa perbedaan umur suami-istri, umur pernikahan, status ekonomi istri, dan perbedaan suku (etnik) suami-istri secara signifikan mempengaruhi probabilitas terjadinya KDRT pada wanita/istri petani, baik untuk periode 3 ataupun 6 bulan terakhir. Estimasi efek marjinal dari peubah bebasnya mengindikasikan bahwa persamaan etnik suami-istri dan status ekonomi istri memiliki kontribusi terbesar yang dapat mengurangi probabilitas wanita/istri petani mengalami tindak kekerasan dalam rumah tangganya. Kata kunci: kekerasan dalam rumah tangga, probalititas, binary probit model
PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA DAN INTEGRASI PASAR SPASIAL KACANG TANAH Sakinah, Fitri; sukiyono, ketut; Reswita, Reswita
Jurnal Ilmiah Sosio-Ekonomika Bisnis Vol 21 No 2 (2018): Jurnal Ilmiah Sosio-Ekonomika Bisnis
Publisher : Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (200.101 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/jiseb.v21i2.5541

Abstract

This research is aimed at examining the best forecasting model for peanut price and analyzing the spatial market integration of peanuts in Bengkulu province.  Monthly data of peanut from 2004:1 ? 2013:12 are used for this research and three trend model, i.e., linear, quadratic and exponential trend are applied in which the selection of the best model is based on the lowest value of MAPE, MAD, and MSD.  The VAR model of market integration is applied and combined with cointegration and Granger Causality test. This research finds that the best forecasting model is quadratic trend model.  This research also concludes that spatial market of peanuts in Bengkulu has already well integrated and each district interplays a peanut price.
EFISIENSI ALOKATIF FAKTOR PRODUKSI PADA USAHA PERIKANAN TANGKAP DI KOTA BENGKULU: KASUS PADA ALAT TANGKAP GILLNET ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY OF PRODUCTION INPUTS IN CAPTURE FISHERY BUSINESS IN BENGKULU CITY: CASE STUDY OF FISHING VESSEL WITH GILLNET FISHING Sukiyono, Ketut; Romdhon, M. Mustopa
Saintek Perikanan : Indonesian Journal of Fisheries Science and Technology Vol 11, No 2 (2016): SAINTEK PERIKANAN
Publisher : Fakultas Perikanan dan Ilmu Kelautan, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (192.133 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/ijfst.11.2.99-104

Abstract

 Penelitian ini ditujukan untuk mengeksaminasi faktor yang mempengaruhi volume ikan hasil tangkapan dan menganalisa efisiensi alokatif input produksi.  Penelitian ini dilakukan di Kota Bengkulumeliputi survai pada 60 nelayan perikanan tangkap dengan alat tangkap jaring insang (Gillnet).  Fungsi produksi Cobb-Douglass digunakan utnuk menentukan faktor yang mempengaruhi volume ikan tangkapan dan efisiensi alokatif. Faktor produksi yang dimasukan dalam model adalah ukuran kapal, lama melaut, ukuran mesin kapal, jumlah ABK, dan biaya operasional melaut.  Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa lama melaut dan jumlah ABK merupakan faktor penting yang mempengaruhi jumlah hasil tangkapan, sementara faktor yang lain tidak.  Lama melaut dan jumlah ABK tidak efisien sehingga penggunaan dua faktor ini harus ditingkatkan untuk mencapai efisiensi alokatif. Kata kunci: Efisensi alokatif, Perikanan tangkapa, Gillnet  ABSTRACT This research was aimed at examining factors that have an effect on the volume of catches fishes, and analyzing an allocative efficiency of input productions.  This research was conducted in Bengkulu City involving survey on 60 fishermen of fishing vessel with Gillnetfishing gears.  The production function of Cobb Douglass used to determine factors affected the volume of catches fishes and allocative efficiency.  Production factors were included in the model involving fishing vessel size, length of fishing day, vessel machine power, number of vessel crews, and operational costs. The research showed that length of fishing day and number of fishing vessel crews are an important factors affected the volume of catches fishes, while others are not. The use of length of fishing and the vessel crews were an inefficient.  Therefore, the use of these two factors should be increased to gain an allocative efficiency. Keywords: Allocative efficiency, Capture fishery, Gillnet
Struktur Biaya dan Efisiensi Usaha Perikanan Tangkap di Kota Bengkulu: Kasus pada Alat Tangkap Gillnet M, Mardianto; Romdhon, Mustopa; Sukiyono, Ketut
Jurnal Bisnis Tani Vol 1, No 1 (2015): Jurnal Bisnis Tani Cetakan Pertama Desember 2015
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (197.261 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/jbt.v1i1.581

Abstract

This study is aimed at analyzing the cost structure,and the efficiency level ofcatching fishery industry  in the city of Bengkulu. Research was conducted in Pulau Baai in the subdistrict at Kampung Melayu,Bengkulu City where was determined purposively.  Samples were selected by stratified random sampling. The 60 samples were divided into two strata based on their fishing vessel size, i.e.,  1-5 GT and ? 6 GT.  Full costing approach was used to analyse cost structure of catching fishesy businesses while R/C ratio was applied to determine the level of business efficiency. The estimation found that a variable cost amounted to 83.22 % of total cost, While fixed cost consisted of 16.78 %. Efficiency fishery business level way 1.24 which means that by spending 1 rupiah fisherman will benefit by Rp. 1.24, this means the fishery business was efficient because R/C ratio was hingher than 1. In term of revenue distribution, there is ?bagi hasil? pattern between the owner and fishing vessel crews, i.e., with ratio of 50: 50.   
POLA KEMITRAAN PEMASARAN LOBSTER DI KOTA BENGKULU Romdhon, M. Mustopa; sukiyono, ketut
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 10 NO 1 2011
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.10.1.126-137

Abstract

Relationship among lobster marketing agents could determine partnership pattern, but how the relationship was build and run, its need depth explanation. The research was aims to synthesize partnership pattern, rights and obligations among agents under lobster marketing at Bengkulu Municipal. The Partnership pattern was explained descriptively through non-contractual, equipment and capital achieved. The research was employed at North Bengkulu Districts at three villages (Pasar Pedati, Pasar Ketahun and Pasar Seblat). They were biggest lobster supplier to the UD. Edi Koto. Respondents were fisherman under an unit fishing boat (32 unit) and 12 traders. The results showed that partnership pattern among agents were KOA and Dagang Umum where was KOA more dominant than dagang umum and its profitable. Key words: partnership system, marketing, lobster
PRODUKTIVITAS BURUH TANI PENYADAP KARET RAKYAT DAN STRUKTUR PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGANYA (DESA AIR SEKAMANAK KECAMATAN KETAHUN KABUPATEN BENGKULU UTARA) Syahfrudin, Ridlo; Sukiyono, Ketut; Yuliarti, Ellys
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 10 NO 1 2011
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.10.1.287-300

Abstract

The research was conducted in the Air Sekamanak village ketahun in North Bengkulu. The research location is determined purposively with consideration the village population moyority  are farming rubber 75%. The purpose of this study to: 1) Estimate the level of productivity of rubber tappers, 2) Investigate the structure of rubber tappers household income. The object of research is the variables that relate to activities that tap-time employment, production, costs and revenues. The results of this study with the conclusions 1) Average labor productivity of agricultural workers in the rubber tappers of the Air Sekamanak village 3,822 Kg/wacth. 2) The average income of households in the Air Sekamanak village Rp 1.9466.490,476/month. The average income derived from farm laborers for the rubber tappers Rp 1.720.740,476/farming/month its contribution to household income by 88,402%. While the average income derived from activities outside of tapping rubber laborers Rp 225.750/month. This means that contribution to household income is about 11,598%. Key words: Productivity, Farm workers, Income Structure
RAGAM PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGA DAN FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI: Studi kasus di Desa-Desa Sekitar Kawasan Taman Nasional Kerinci Seblat (TNKS) Kabupaten Lebong Provinsi Bengkulu Windirah, Nola; Sukiyono, Ketut; Widiono, Septri
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 13 NO 2 2014
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.13.2.177-186

Abstract

This research is aimed at exploring level of household income diversity based on agricultural land typology and examining factors that affect household income diversity in villages around TNKS, Regency of Lebong, Province of Bengkulu. This research uses secondary and primary data. Respondents of this research were determined randomly as much as 400 respondents in 20 villages. Analysis method diversity used are F test and t test to infestigate the differences of household income and multiple linear regression to examining the factors that affect the diversity of household income by applying and developing Minot. et al (2006) model. Result of this research showed that there are differences of household income diversity agricultural land typology, eventhing the existing  are not significant among typologies and the factors that affect the household income diversity are education of the head of the family, agricultural land area, and amount of main income household.Keywords: household income diversity, Determinant Factors, TNKS
ANALISIS POLA DAN RESIKO USAHA GULA AREN DI KABUPATEN REJANG LEBONG Kencana, Felycia Tyera; Sukiyono, Ketut; Sumantri, Bambang
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 11 NO 1 2012
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.11.1.1-11

Abstract

This study is aimed at examining enterprises model and analysing risk level of Palm Sugar in Rejang Lebong Regency.  Risk Analysis involve nira harvested, nira processed, palm sugar production, and palm sugar prices received by producers.  Two-stages cluster sampling method is used to determine research areas, i.e, subdistrict of Sindang Kelingi and Selupu Rejang based on the numbers of  firms. Using similar critirea, two villages are selected, i.e, Air Meles Atas and Sindang Jati.  From those villages, then, 86 palm sugar producers are selected using Simple Random Sampling. Descriptive analysis is applied to describe entreprises model of palm sugar industries while risks is analysed using its varians, standard deviation, and minimum level of production as proposed by Maryam and Suprapti (2008).   The research shows that all palm sugar industries in this regency can be categories as home industries with average production scale of  11.58 kg per process in rainy season and 11. 54 kg in dry season. Palm sugar producers  use  their own capital to produce palm sugar and borrowed to palm sugar village merchants when they need.  From risk analysis, the study finds that palm sugar producers will face higher risk in term of nira harvested and processed, and production in dry season, except in term of price received which is higher in rainy season.  Over all, palm sugar producers will not face risk significantly both in dry and rainy season.Key words: Palm Sugar, Enterprises model, Risk analysis       
EFEK INSTABILITAS NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP PENAWARAN EKSPOR KOPI INDONESIA DAN HARGA KOPI DOMESTIK Aprilla, Sandi; Sukiyono, Ketut; Romdhon, M. Mustopa
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 11 NO 1 2012
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.11.1.51-60

Abstract

This research is to examine the volatility of rupiah exhange rate and  investigate influenced factors to export supply and domestic price of Indonesian Coffee.  Double log model of export supply as proposed by Cerra dan Saxena (2003) and  of domestic price are used in this study. Using three monthly  data of 1990:1 to 2005:4, the result shows that export supply of Indonesian coffee is significantly and positively inflenced by International coffee price and previous export, and negatively influenced by exchange rate instability while domestic price is not.  Domestic price is influenced positively by international coffee price, is not by exchange rate instability.Keywords: Exchange Rate Instability, export supply, domestic price, Coffee.