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PEMODELAN REGRESI PANEL PADA DATA PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD) TERHADAP DANA ALOKASI UMUM (DAU) Caraka, Rezzy Eko
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2019: Vol. 12, No.1, Februari 2019 (pp. 1-107)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2019.v12.i01.p06

Abstract

Data panel is a composite of the data time series (over time) and cross section (between individuals / space). To describe briefly the data panel,egg in cross section,and the value of one or more variables were collected for the sample unit at a time of time. In panel data, the same cross section units surveyed in some time. Panel data regression was used to determine the most appropriate regression model is used to model local revenue (PAD) of the general allocation fund (DAU) for seven districts / cities in Central Java province from 2008 to 2010 budgets. Models produced by REM obtained R2 values ??of 43.8893 % revenue (PAD) is influenced by the General Allocation Fund (DAU), while the rest influenced by other factors.
HOW BIG POVERTY IN CENTRAL JAVA: MIXED REGRESSIVE-SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS Caraka, Rezzy Eko
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2018: Vol. 11, No.1, Februari 2018 (pp. 1-144)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2018.v11.i01.p04

Abstract

Mixed Regressive-Spatial Autoregressive Models (MR-SAM) is one spatial model with an area approach that takes into account the spatial influence of lag on the dependent variable. The advantage of this model is we can know the location has spatial effect or not. In this paper uses MR-SAM to determine and analyze the factors that affect the category of the poor in Central Java. MR-SAM is one of parametric regression, before using the model we must fulfill assumptions. In a nutshell, at significant ?=5% number of poverty in central java can be explained (statistically significant) by GDP, number of people didn?t finish primary school, and number of people who didn?t finished high school.
PROJECTED RATE OF WASTE AND POPULATION GROWTH (STUDY CASE: TANJUNG BALAI KARIMUN RIAU ISLANDS PROVINCE Caraka, Rezzy Eko
ECOTROPHIC : Jurnal Ilmu Lingkungan (Journal of Environmental Science) Vol 12 No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Master Program of Environmental Science, Postgraduate Program of Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/EJES.2018.v12.i01.p09

Abstract

High population growth makes the activity increases. Activities undertook communities directly affected the environment. The problem that often arises is the rising trash. The impact littering has a direct impact on the health and socio-economics. The government should have the policy to deal with the waste by making rules or regulations as well as the right calculation in dealing with the population growth rate of the volume of waste. Based on this research, population projections using arithmetic concepts acquired in 2024 a population of 230.365 inhabitants Tanjung Balai Karimun and would produce waste as much as 138.219 kg / day or 50,449.94Kg / year and therefore the government must have a land area of ??demand planning and landfill capacity and needs vehicles for transporting garbage
Persepsi tubuh dan gangguan makan pada remaja Kurniawan, Mohamad Yulianto; Briawan, Dodik; Caraka, Rezzy Eko
Jurnal Gizi Klinik Indonesia Vol 11, No 3 (2015): Januari
Publisher : Minat S2 Gizi dan Kesehatan, Prodi S2 IKM, Fakultas Kedokteran UGM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (722.017 KB) | DOI: 10.22146/ijcn.19287

Abstract

Background: There can no longer be any doubt that adolescents do indeed have body esteem problems. Several types of research seem to suggest that this wrong behavior caused by some negative perceptions as a result of dissatisfaction with the body and a person’s level of self-confidence. Therefore they often do misperceptions of his/her body that can lead to wrong dietary behavior. It’s related to the development of more severe body image and eating-related problems.Objective: This study determined the relationship of body image perception and eating disorders in adolescents.Method: A cross-sectional study was applied in this study. The subjects were 120 new students majoring in a nutritional program in Bogor Agricultural University (IPB). They completed a questionnaire measuring appearance evaluation, appearance orientation, body areas satisfaction, overweight preoccupation, self-classified weight and eating disorders. Multidimensional Body Self-Relations Questionnaire-Appearance Scale (MBSRQ-AS) method is used to assess body image perception and Eating Attitude Test 40 (EAT-40) to predict eating disorders.Results: Descriptive analysis showed nutritional status were categorized as normal (83.3%), overweight (10.0%), obesity (4.2%) and thin (2.5%). With MBSRQ-AS method, most of the adolescents have appearance evaluation (80.0%), appearance orientation (99.2%), body areas satisfaction (80.8%), self-classified weight (71.7%) were categorized as negative, whereas overweight preoccupation (57.5%) were categorized as positive. There was (7.8%) female subject with eating disorders with more risk or have attitude the desire to eat continuously and can’t stop eating (2-3 times a month).Conclusion: Statistically using a significance level (α=5%) obtained a significant correlation between body image perception in overweight preoccupation subscale with eating disorders. However, there were no significant correlations for other subscales.
A PREVIEW OF TOTAL QUALITY MANAGEMENT (TQM) IN PUBLIC SERVICES Enggartyasti, Avia; Caraka, Rezzy Eko
E-Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana VOLUME.06.NO.09.TAHUN 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/EEB.2017.v06.i09.p04

Abstract

Total Management System or Total Quality Management (TQM) is a management system that focuses on the Customer by involving all levels of employees in upgrading or continuous improvement. Total Quality Management used data and effective communication to integrate his discipline into the culture and quality of company activities. In short, Total Quality Management (TQM) is a management approach to achieve long-term success through customer satisfaction. This study had two objectives. The first objective was to examine challenges when implementing TQM in public organisations. The second objective was to argues that TQM brings good implications to public services to enhance service quality. 
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS USING COPULA GAUSS AND AR(1)-N.GARCH(1,1) Caraka, Rezzy Eko; Yasin, Hasbi; Sugiarto, Wawan; Ismail, Kadi Mey
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 9, No 1 (2016): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (786.146 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.9.1.1-13

Abstract

In this case, the Gaussian Copula is used to connect the data that correlates with the time and with other data sets. Most often, practitioners rely only on the linear correlation to describe the degree of dependence between two or more variables; an approach that can lead to quite misleading conclusions as this measure is only capable of capturing linear relationships. Correlation doesn?t mean causation, prediction using Copula is built on three things that the marginal distribution function, the kernel function, and the function of the Copula. Gaussian Copula involves the covariance matrix are approximated by using kernel functions. Kernel acts as the correlation between the approach of the data values that have the same characteristics. In this case, the characteristics used is the time. The advantage of the kernel function is able to calculate the correlation between random variables that have a realization using data characteristics. The advantage of using the kernel based Copula able to capture the dependencies between data and process data that have the same characteristics with time. Another benefit is that it allows a sequence of random variables have a joint distribution function so that the conditional probability of the prediction can be calculated. Keywords: Binding, Copula, GARCH, Gauss, Time Series
KAJIAN PERHITUNGAN DANA PENSIUN MENGGUNAKAN ACCRUED BENEFIT COST Caraka, Rezzy Eko
Jurnal BPPK : Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan Vol 9 No 2 (2016): Jurnal BPPK (printed version)
Publisher : Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan - Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

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Abstract

This study aims to (i) Conduct studies and issue civil servant pension fund in Indonesia. (ii) Getting a great value of pension benefits and the present value of pension benefits, (iii) Obtain a plan termination liability and the value of actuarial liabilities. (iv)Obtain normal tuition fees in the defined benefit pension plan and to explain and illustrate the surcharge on funding defined benefit pension plan. Based on this analysis it can be concluded that the calculation of pension funds based on the age of employees is currently appointed as civil servant (y), age of employees (x), limits the retirement age of employees (r), full time of employees (t), the remaining period of the retirement (rx), and a starting salary of employees can be using the concept accured benefit Cost. The government needs to do a review of employee pension payment system should be given attention to the value of the interest rate, large pension benefits, the value of pension benefits, the value of liabilities termination plan and to consider interest rates that do not burden the state budget (APBN).
PENGARUH INFLASI TERHADAP IMPOR DAN EKSPOR DI PROVINSI RIAU DAN KEPULAUAN RIAU MENGGUNAKAN GENERALIZED SPATIO TIME SERIES Caraka, Rezzy Eko; Sugiyarto, Wawan; Erda, Gustriza; Sadewo, Erie
Jurnal BPPK : Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan Vol 9 No 2 (2016): Jurnal BPPK (printed version)
Publisher : Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan - Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

In order to support the economy in Indonesia, the government takes the role in formulating fiscal policy, monetary or non-monetary. In addition, it is necesarry also deep concern related to inflation. This is because when inflation is high, the price of goods and services export become relatively more expensive and lead to domestic products and services can not compete with goods and services from abroad. Exports will also tend to descrease followed by an increase in imports from other countries are likely to increase . province of riau and Riau island border with malaysia and sinagpore. Geographical location adjoining give effect to the value of exports and imports Indonesia. Based on the analysis by modeling based on generalized spatio time series it was concluded that in order to control the inflation rate can be done by maintaining adequate supply and distibution of essential commodities. Lowering inflation expectations remained at a high level and perform industrial production to the maximum and do the consumption of local product.
PERAMALAN CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) MENGGUNAKAN SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION KERNEL RADIAL BASIS Caraka, Rezzy Eko; Yasin, Hasbi; Basyiruddin, Adi Waridi
Jurnal Matematika Vol 7 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JMAT.2017.v07.i01.p81

Abstract

Recently, instead of selecting a kernel has been proposed which uses SVR, where the weight of each kernel is optimized during training. Along this line of research, many pioneering kernel learning algorithms have been proposed. The use of kernels provides a powerful and principled approach to modeling nonlinear patterns through linear patterns in a feature space. Another bene?t is that the design of kernels and linear methods can be decoupled, which greatly facilitates the modularity of machine learning methods. We perform experiments on real data sets crude palm oil prices for application and better illustration using kernel radial basis. We see that evaluation gives a good to fit prediction and actual also good values showing the validity and accuracy of the realized model based on MAPE and R2. Keywords:  Crude Palm Oil; Forecasting; SVR; Radial Basis; Kernel
The step construction of penalized spline in electrical power load data Caraka, Rezzy Eko; Bakar, Sakhinah Abu; Anuraga, Gangga; Mauludin, M. A.; Anwardi, Anwardi; Pomalingo, Suwito; Rosalina, Vidila
TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Vol 17, No 2: April 2019
Publisher : Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (697.286 KB) | DOI: 10.12928/telkomnika.v17i2.8460

Abstract

Electricity is one of the most pressing needs for human life. Electricity is required not only for lighting but also to carry out activities of daily life related to activities Social and economic community. The problems is currently a limited supply of electricity resulting in an energy crisis. Electrical power is not storable therefore it is a vital need to make a good electricity demand forecast. According to this, we conducted an analysis based on power load. Given a baseline to this research, we applied penalized splines (P-splines) which led to a powerful and applicable smoothing technique. In this paper, we revealed penalized spline degree 1 (linear) with 8 knots is the best model since it has the lowest GCV (Generelized Cross Validation). This model have become a compelling model to predict electric power load evidenced by of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE=0.013) less than 10%.