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INDONESIA
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan
Published by Universitas Airlangga
ISSN : 2302707X     EISSN : 25408828     DOI : -
Core Subject :
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan is a journal that contains articles about the development of statistical methods in the field of health, the application of statistical methods on solving health problems, the development of demography and demography, solving reproductive health problems, solving the problems of maternal and child health as well as the themes surrounding the development of biostatistics and population. This journal is published twice a year in July and December.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 90 Documents
PERAMALAN JUMLAH KASUS INFEKSI SALURAN PERNAFASAN AKUT (ISPA) PADA LAKI-LAKI TAHUN 2019 DENGAN METODE ARIMA Saputra, Moch. Fitriawan Eka; Rizky, Muhammad
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.138-145

Abstract

The ARIMA method is an approach that forms the most powerful model in analyzing time series data, and the studies given are very thorough. This method can be modeling data stationary or not stationary, it can be seen from sine wave shape of the plot ACF. This method is used because obtained the results are better and more accurate. According to WHO, Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) is an infectious disease that causes can be morbidity and mortality. A four million people die each year. This study used secondary data so that it is categorized as non reactive research. The population were cases of Acute Respiratory Infections (ARI) at Jagir Health Center Surabaya which were recorded in 2013 to 2018 (monthly). The dependent variable is the cases of Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI), while the independent variable is time. The model that was obtained from the ARIMA method is a model (2.0,1). The forecasting result is 354 cases in 2019, the forecasting has increased from 2018 to only 313 cases. It was a suggestion that the forecasting result can be a reference for developing a policy and a new program or improvement in previous program so that the number cases of ARI at the Jagir Health Center can be resolved properly.
ANALISIS PENGARUH POLA ASUH TERHADAP KECELAKAAN LALU LINTAS PADA PELAJAR SMA MENGGUNAKAN REGRESI LOGISTIK Bayumi, Febrianti Qisti Arrum; Hendrati, Lucia Yovita
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.120-128

Abstract

Injuries due to traffic accidents were ranked eighth as health problem that caused deaths in several countries. Many traffic accidents occur in Africa and Southeast Asia with mortality rate of 26.6 and 20.7 deaths per 100,000 populations in 2016. East Java Province was ranked second as the location of traffic accidents on Java. Surabaya was ranked fifth as a contributor to the large number of road traffic accidents in East Java. The purpose of this study is to identify the relationship between parents? authoritarian parenting and the experience of teenage traffic accidents while riding a motorcycle. This research is a cross sectional study and uses two stage random sampling method. From the sampling process, as many as 222 students were obtained as respondents. The instrument used in this study consists of personal data and the Parental Authority Questionnaire (PAQ) to identify parenting style. Data analysis was carried out by logistic regression test with ?= 5%. The data collection process was carried out during April-October 2017 in public and private high school in Surabaya. Logistic regression test results showed that there is no significant impact between parenting style and traffic accidents experienced by respondents (authoritarian p = 0.966; OR = 0.967, permissive p = 0.616; OR = 1.556). The conclusion of this study is that traffic accidents are not directly affected by parenting style, but it has role in forming individual characteristics, such as decision making and driving attitudes.
ANALISIS REGRESI ORDINAL MODEL LOGIT UNTUK MENGIDENTIFIKASI FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA Dwiningtias, Yonita Dyah Puji; Mahmudah, Mahmudah
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.174-182

Abstract

The Human Development Index (HDI) is an index used to determine the level of quality of human life. HDI became a trend because all local governments are competing to increase the value of their regional HDI. This study aims to identify the factors that influence the HDI of districts/cities in East Java Province in 2017 using the logit model ordinal regression approach. This type of research is a non reactive study using secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency and the East Java Province Health Office in 2017. The study population is all districts/cities of East Java Province. The total research analysis unit was 38 districts/cities. The dependent variable of the study is low, medium, high and very high HDI. The independent variable of the study is the percentage of households behaving clean and healthy, student-teacher ratio (high school level) and open unemployment rate. The results of the analysis using the logit model ordinal regression test (? = 5%) prove there is an influence between the open unemployment rate variable (p = 0.006; ? = 0.790) on the HDI. The variable percentage of households behaving clean and healthy and student-teacher ratio (high school level) has no effect on HDI. Both central and regional governments are expected to be able to improve human development in all sectors, especially health, education and the economy.
ANALISIS CLUSTER K-MEANS KABUPATEN/KOTA DI JAWA TIMUR BERDASARKAN LEVEL EPIDEMIK HIV Nugroho, Desy Yuanita; Wibowo, Arief
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.109-119

Abstract

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in East Java was not only occurred in urban areas. This is due to the population mobility and sexual lifestyles. This study aimed to classify districts/cities in East Java used Cluster K-Means analysis based on the number of high risk population that living with HIV. This study was an observational study with an analytical method. The secondary data was taken from HIV and PIMS Situation Report of the East Java Provincial Health in 2017. This study obtained 3 optimal clusters, which were 4 districts/cities in cluster 1 named alert category, 24 districts/cities in cluster 2 named standby category and 10 districts/cities in cluster 3 named alert category. Proposed suggestions based on this study were prioritized early HIV test and counseling, provided adequate care, support and treatment for people living with HIV.
TREN PENCATATAN LAPORAN CAKUPAN KUNJUNGAN K4 PUSKESMAS DI DINAS KESEHATAN KOTA SURABAYA TAHUN 2015–2017 Ni'mah, Siti Rohmatun; Melaniani, Soenarnatalina
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.165-173

Abstract

One of the management of health information systems are reported and processed like data regarding coverage of K4 pregnant women. The coverage visited of pregnant women Surabaya in 2017 is 98.55% of 47,104 pregnant women. That indicator has been used assess maternal and child health services. This can be identified by the completed coverage of antenatal care (supply service standards and keeping the time set), which describes the ability of management or continuity of the maternal and child health program. The study was carried out to describe the trend of the coverage report system K4 pregnant woman visits at the Surabaya City Health Office in 2015?2017. This research is a descriptive study with a quantitative approachment, the data used by secondary data from the Surabaya City Health Profile Report from 2015 to 2017. The data were based on coverage of K4 pregnant women from 2015 to 2017, there are several publiic health centers with report trends visits to K4 pregnant women which tend to declined and less than the target of 98.45% that have been fixed in the Strategic Plan of Surabaya City Health Office. Three health center whose trend of data has decreased from 2014?2017 are Tembok Dukuh Health Center, Simokerto Health Center, and Menur Health Center. This is due to an error in the reporting mechanism both in data input, data processing, and output, it is necessary to develop an infoormation system for recording and reporting on maternal health services, especially for pregnant women and evaluating reports on K4 pregnant women's visits.
PEMODELAN KASUS DBD DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR DENGAN METODE DATA PANEL Shafira, Annisa Dwinda
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.101-108

Abstract

The combination of panel data regression consist of time series data, it was collected based on a characteristic at a certain time (cross section). This research aimed to analyze the affecting factors and dominant factors of Dengue Hemoragic Fever (DHF) cases in East Java using panel data regression. This research uses secondary data published by the East Java Provincial Health Office, namely the Health Profile and the East Java Provincial Statistics Agency such as documents of each Districts/City in Numbers of East Java on 2014–?2017 using total research population that were collected in all districts/cities in East Java Province. The data of new cases of DHF and factors affecting the incidence of DHF including clean and healthy living behavior in the household, poverty, population density, rainfall in East Java on 2014–?2017. Panel regression analysis is used to determine the best model of the CEM, FEM and REM using Chow test, Hausman test and Langrange Multiplier test. Based on the results, the best model of panel regression is FEM with affecting variables such as poverty, population density, and rainfall.
PENGENDALIAN DORONGAN SEKSUAL MELALUI PENINGKATAN PERAN ORANG TUA DAN AKTIVITAS SANTRIWATI Dania, Samara Rahma; Salim, Lutfi Agus
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.155-164

Abstract

One of adolescence?s problems is uncontrolable sexual drive. It was expected that the students of Islamic boarding school have a sexual driving better than students of common school. But, sexuality problem among boarding school?s student is similar with student in common school. Good sexual driving can protect the students from negative impacts of sexual activity. Sexual driving is influenced by parent?s role and student activity. This study aimed to analyse the relationship between parent?s role and student activity with sexual driving of female student in islamic boarding school in Sukoharjo City. The research was taken on April, 2019. The subjects were 107 students in the age of 10?18 who study at Madrasah Aliyah (MA) Pondok Pesantren X andY, Kabupaten Sukoharjo. Research method is cross-sectional. Sampling technique was stratified random sampling, whereas data collection technique is interview using questionnaire. The data were a analyzed with chi-square (p value < 0,005). The result showed that parent?s role has significant relationship with sexual driving (p value < 0,005), whereas activity do not have relationship with sexual driving (p value > 0,05). Parent?s role was giving direction to their children to have good behavior. Student who has good faith will avoid something that prohibited in Islam. Although student of Islamic Boarding School has leisure time, regulation of Islamic boarding school makes them are avoided from negative sexual activity.
SISTEM INFORMASI PROGRAM PELAPORAN ISPA DI KOTA SURABAYA Mubarokah, Nur Fauzia Laily; Notobroto, Hari Basuki; Primayanti, Primayanti
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.146-154

Abstract

Acute Respiratory Infections (ARI) is a disease that occurs in many developing countries and also on the list of 10 most diseases in hospitals. This study aims to analyze the information system of ARI Reporting Program in Surabaya. Reporting on ARI cases is a surveillance of the disease. If many cases reported, it is better than only a few cases reported. This research is a descriptive study with a qualitative approach. Based on the results of the interview with the informant, it was stated that the ARI reporting program had helped in recording ARI cases that occurred in Surabaya. File formats that are still manual and not integrated with the internet (online) make sending reports longer. Even if you implement an integrated online, data entry only needs to be done once so that the same data will be stored electronically and can be sent and processed. In addition, in the excel file ARI reporting program, there are several output menus that can be used as a result of the description of ARI cases. However, the output was underutilized so that less case monitoring was implemented to reduce the number of ARI / Pneumonia cases that occurred in Surabaya. The conclusion is the ARI reporting program is very helpful in the process of data collection of ARI cases, but it would be better if they use the type of online computerization management and better utilize the graphical output of the ARI reporting program.
FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TERJADINYA PERNIKAHAN USIA DINI Angraini, Wulan; Pratiwi, Bintang Agustina; Febriawati, Henni; Yanuarti, Riska; Anita, Betri; Oktarianita, Oktarianita
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.183-191

Abstract

Bengkulu Tengah is one of the Regencies in Bengkulu Province with the highest number of marriages in the early age compared to the other nine regencies/cities, which amounted to 29.12 percent. This study aims to determine the factors that influence early marriage in Bengkulu Tengah District. This type of research is quantitative, the population were all married couples in January-September 2017. Sampling using Propotional Random Sampling technique with a total sample of 237 people. Data was collected using a valid and reliable questionnaire then analyzed using univariate and multivariabel analysis (Multiple Linear Regression Test). The result show that youngest age of marriage is 15 years, lowest income Rp 100,000, youngest menarche age 10 years, average knowledge score 6.19, attitude 29.43, media exposure 1.63, influence of friend 5, parental support 2.23, stigma 4.29. The factors that influence the occurrence of early marriage are knowledge, Age of Menarche, and Media (p value < 0.05). The age of Menarche is the most influential factor in the age of marriage. The younger the age of menarche, the younger the age of one's marriage. It is better for teens who have experienced menstruation to maintain their reproductive health by delaying marriage in their teens.
PENGGUNAAN ROC PADA SKRINING PRE-EKLAMPSIA DENGAN METODE USG DVAUT PADA IBU HAMIL DI PUSKESMAS MULYOREJO SURABAYA Laraswati, Intan; Indriani, Diah
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN
Publisher : Univerversitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v8i2.2019.129-137

Abstract

Pre-eclampsia is the third highest cause of death in pregnant women. Symptoms of pre-eclampsia can be identified by the presence of hypertension, proteinuria and edema during pregnancy until postpartum. Pre-eclampsia cannot be identified with certain risk factors, and cannot be prevented. Pre-eclampsia can be detected early using the pre-eclampsia screening method with sonography. The sonographic device used is referred to as DVAUt ultrasound (Uterine Artery Doppler Velocimetry Ultrasonography). This studying an analytic observational research with a cross sectional study design. The population was all pregnant women who examined at the Mulyorejo primary health center in 2013 until the first quarter of 2018. The sampling technique was consecutive sampling with inclusion and exclusion criteria. The number of samples obtained is 496 data. The study aimed to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the pre-eclampsia screening method using DVAUt ultrasound in detecting the tendency of pregnant women to experience pre-eclampsia. The data were analyzed of sensitivity and specificity and the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve with p <0.001. P1GF / sFlt-1 (Gold standard) biomaker test sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 90%. The results of this study were the sensitivity of pre-eclampsia screening at 99.7% and specificity of 81.9%. The ROC method obtained the results of pre-eclampsia screening using DVAUt ultrasound has a high sensitivity and specificity in detecting the tendency of pregnant women to experience pre-eclampsia. Suggestions for research to refresh knowledge and procedures for conducting pre-eclampsia screening checks.